Is Hillary dumping Delhi for Beijing?
With Secretary of State Hillary Clinton about to embark on a seven-day trip to India and Thailand, there is some speculation that the Delhi visit is only for show, a trip “full of sound and fury, signifying nothing,” as one blogger described it.
According to a State Department press release, Hillary “will meet with Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and with External Affairs Minister Krishna. The Secretary and Minister Krishna will discuss the structure and elements of an enhanced U.S.-India strategic partnership that will enable us to advance solutions to the defining challenges of our time and to enhance global prosperity and stability in the 21st century. ”
While that sounds impressive enough, not everyone is convinced that the U.S – India “strategic partnership” is more than a U.S. ploy to get non-aligned India to purchase near-obsolete American fighters.
The US-Bharti (India) relationship is on the decline and Delhi knows this. Delhi has been sacrificed on the alter of the Sino-American relationship. Even so both countries will be putting a good face on the short lived friendship. There will be a lot of smiles, and a plenty of photo-ops. There will be huge references to the Nuclear deal and a lot of talking about the sale of stripped down versions of discarded US planes–in essence a lot of fluff and no substance.
According to the Rupee News, evidence that U.S. – India relations are on the decline includes:
1) The US “dumped” India at the G-8 summit by imposing severe restriction on the export of nuclear material to countries that have not signed the Nuclear Proliferation Treaty.
2) Hillary’s first trip was to China and did not include a visit to India.
3) The U.S. no longer sees India as a counterweight to China. Many believe that Hillary is the architect of a much closer relationship with Beijing.
4) Although India is still upset about the attack at Mumbai, “the rest of the world has taken a big yawn on the subject.”
5) The US has tripled its aid package to Pakistan, India’s rival in the region.
All this conjecture about “dumping Delhi,” of course, must be seen in the context of Hillary’s long-standing pro-India sentiments. Calling India “Hillary Clinton’s Darling,” think-tank director and blogger Dr. A. Prabaharan believes that no one is better suited to take U.S. – India relations to “the next level.”
In the last 62 years of India-US relations, no US secretary of state had credentials anywhere comparable to Hillary Clinton’s in the matter of promoting the bilateral partnership. As senator, she co-founded and co-chaired the India caucus. She has visited India more than once. She has a constituency among Indian-Americans, most of whom supported, electorally and financially, her candidacy for the Democratic presidential nomination.
According to Dr. Prabaharan, Hillary’s visit will “help build stage III of the relationship, with India as a key partner helping America shape the 21st century. The earlier two stages were, according to her, the Cold War years and the post-Cold War period up to the end of the Bush administration and the India-US nuclear deal. She proposes to build ties on four natural platforms: global security, human development, economic activity and science and technology.”
In a few days we will have a better sense of who is right in this argument: the “dumping Delhi” faction or the “Hillary’s Darling” group.
Stay tuned.
Honduras: Cafeteria democracy.
A diplomat’s job is toughest when there is no obvious “good guy” to support, and that is clearly the case today in Honduras.
Both the new, de facto government and the deposed regime of President Zelaya have serious issues when it comes to abiding by their own laws and constitution. Both groups seem determined to make Honduras a “cafeteria democracy” in which they get to pick and choose which democratic principles and institutions deem legitimate. Zelaya didn’t like the constitutional limit on his time in power, so he called for an illegal referendum and, when challenged, fired the head of the country’s armed forces, General Romeo Vasquez, who had refused to coordinate Zelaya’s poll. The situation in Honduras went downhill from there.
The new boss — not quite the same as the old boss — is Roberto Micheletti, head of the new government. He and his right-wing accomplices say they deposed Zelaya because he violated the constitution when he ignored the Congress and the Supreme Court. So, cafeteria style, Micheletti and Company ignored Honduras’ law, arrested and flew Zelaya, still in his pajamas, out of the country.
That’s made the role of the U.S. tougher than the generic coup d’etats we used to see in the good old days, when the bad guys wore black hats and the good guys rode in on white horses. So, Secretary Clinton and the State Department are doing what any sane diplomat would do under the circumstances: they’re picking no one.
In a State Department briefing late yesterday, Secretary Clinton announced the Administration’s support for mediation between deposed President Zelaya and the de facto government in Honduras. In other words, since we can pick no one, we’ll let both bad guys work it out. The mediation will be conducted by President Arias of Costa Rica, an experienced mediator who won the Nobel Peace Prize for his work mediating the crisis in El Salvador.
Hillary stressed the importance of having the two conflicted parties talk to each other to resolve the country’s constitutional crisis, and for the U.S. not to try to impose a solution on one group or the other.
“Our goal has been to reach the point where I believe we are now, which is to get the parties talking to each other and not through us or through other third parties. There’s been, as you know, an enormous amount of contact going on across the hemisphere and, literally, around the world. But it has been my view for several days that the most useful role we could play is to convince all that are directly concerned, not only President Zelaya, but also the de facto regime, the OAS, the UN, everyone, that we needed to have a process where the Hondurans themselves sat down and talked to each other. And that is – that’s been my goal, and I believe that we are on the brink of that happening.”
Here is Hillary’s briefing on the decision to support mediation for Honduras:
In a bit of irony, while visiting another cafeteria democracy, Russia, President Obama threw his support behind Zelaya. Nevermind that this position contradicts the one taken by the State Department, it’s the president’s rationale that strikes me and others as ironic given his willingness to challenge the legitimacy of Iran’s newly re-elected president, Ahmadinejad:
“America supports now the restoration of the democratically-elected President of Honduras, even though he has strongly opposed American policies,” the president told graduate students at the commencement ceremony of Moscow’s New Economic School. “We do so not because we agree with him. We do so because we respect the universal principle that people should choose their own leaders, whether they are leaders we agree with or not. “
Anyone still hungry?
Hillary stresses “core principles” in 4th of July message.
In a recorded video message sent to U.S. Missions around the world, Hillary focused on the core principles that unite the U.S. with other nations.
Transcript of Secretary Clinton’s message -
Hello everyone. I am delighted to welcome you on behalf of President Obama and the people of the United States as we celebrate our nation’s 233rd birthday.
For Americans, the 4th of July is a day to reconnect with loved ones, to remember our history, and to renew our commitment to democracy, tolerance, and justice. As President Obama said in Cairo last month, these are not just American values, these are core principles we share with people everywhere. So it is fitting that we open our doors and share this day with our friends and neighbors around the world.
Our fates and our fortunes are intertwined like never before. No one nation can meet today’s global challenges alone. We all share responsibility for working together to ensure a more peaceful and prosperous future.
So I hope that today’s celebration will become tomorrow’s partnership. There’s nothing we can’t accomplish, no challenge we can’t meet, if we work together toward common goals and seek common ground.
Thank you so much for joining us and have a wonderful 4th of July.
